While many on the left are concerned that a New York Times/Siena College poll earlier this week showed Donald Trump ahead of President Joe Biden in several swing states in the 2024 presidential election, out MSNBC host Rachel Maddow explained how a poll number that isn’t making headlines turns those results upside-down.
“The big political news in the last 48 hours was The New York Times/Siena College polling that came out this weekend about the presidential race,” Maddow said. “And the headline was that President Biden’s reelection effort looks like it’s in trouble. Trump is ahead of Biden in a hypothetical general election matchup in five of six so-called battleground states.”
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“Interestingly, though, even in that poll, those results flip when people are asked about Trump potentially being convicted of any of the felonies he’s currently charged with,” she continued. “In that same poll, all six of those six swing states would go for Biden if Trump is convicted on any count in any of his trials. So we will see.”
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Trump was indicted four times this year and is also involved in two civil cases. He is being charged in D.C. for his alleged role in spreading election misinformation and trying to overturn the results of the 2020 election, which led to the January 6 insurrection. He’s being charged in Florida for his alleged mishandling of classified documents that he allegedly illegally took with him after he left the White House. He’s being charged in New York for allegedly falsifying business records to hide hush money payments to adult film actress Stormy Daniels to cover up their affair. And he’s being charged in Georgia for allegedly conspiring to interfere with that state’s election in 2020.
He is facing a total of 91 felony counts in those cases, which Maddow suggested might be a reason he wants to win this election so badly.
“But you see how central this is to Trump’s effort to try to get back into the White House,” said Maddow. “It’s a chicken-and-egg thing in terms of why he wants to get there, right, and what convictions have to be seen as by his followers.”
“But you see why his effort is to try to not necessarily beat all of these charges and all of these civil suits. It’s to say that the legal system doesn’t matter, and the legal system isn’t in power, and the legal system doesn’t need to be obeyed.”
Regarding the GOP primary, Trump is far ahead of the other candidates, getting an average of 57.9% support in Real Clear Politics’s average of polls. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis comes in second at just 13.4%, and no other GOP candidate has over 10% support.