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Politico poll: Majority in ‘highly competitive midterm contests’ oppose gay marriage

Monday, May 19, 2014
Supporters of traditional marriage and gay marriage demonstrate outside the Federal Appeals Court in Richmond, Va., Tuesday, May 13, 2014.Steve Helber, AP

Supporters of traditional marriage and gay marriage demonstrate outside the Federal Appeals Court in Richmond, Va., Tuesday, May 13, 2014.

A new poll conducted for Politico.com finds that overall, 52 percent of those “surveyed” oppose same-sex marriage, the only national poll in more than a year to suggest that Americans still oppose marriage equality.

The poll reflects “likely voters” in mostly Republican, or Republican-leaning states with competitive U.S. Senate races, including: Alaska, Arkansas, Georgia, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Montana, North Carolina, South Dakota, Virginia and West Virginia.

Less GOP-leaning states of Colorado, Minnesota, New Hampshire and Oregon, among the poll’s 867 respondents.

According to Politico, “clear generational divides exist” on the issue of same-sex marriage, which is supported by only 48 percent of those surveyed overall.

“But that number skyrockets to 61 percent among people between the ages of 18-34. Slightly more than half of those between ages 35 and 49 support gay marriage; the figure drops to 48 percent among those aged 50-64 and tapers off to 35 percent among those 65 and older,” according to the poll results.

The poll, designed by SocialSphere and conducted by the research firm GfK, surveyed likely voters between May 2 and 13, in places with highly competitive midterm contests. The poll, conducted with GfK’s online KnowledgePanel methodology, has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.1 percentage points (which could actually flip the results to 48 percent opposed to 52 percent in support).

More than a dozen national polls conducted over the past year, with respondents from across the country, however, find that a majority of Americans have evolved on the issued of marriage equality. Among them:

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