A recent poll from the Human Rights Campaign shows that, among LGBTQ+ voters, the Harris-Walz presidential ticket is 67 points ahead of the Trump-Vance ticket.
The poll shows that, out of a sample of 2,500 LGBTQ+ adults, 74% are leaning towards voting for the Harris-Walz ticket, while only 7.5% are voting for the Trump-Vance ticket. The rest are voting third party or are abstaining from voting.
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Among the 95.8% who are voting, the lead is up to 70 points, with 77.2% voting for the Democrats and 7.8% going towards the GOP.
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This is in line with an additional report from the HRC that shows that 95% of LGBTQ+ adults are registered to vote and are planning to vote in the upcoming election, a much higher rate than the general population. 73% of the sample indicated they were “very motivated” to vote.
60% of Gen Z LGBTQ+ adults are ready to vote, compared to 72% of millennials and 91% of Gen X.
The issues that were most important to LGBTQ+ voters include LGBTQ+ equality, reproductive rights, SCOTUS reform, the cost of living, and Project 2025. Project 2025 is the Heritage Foundation-backed conservative megaplan to enact far-right policies should Donald Trump win another term. This plan includes heavy restrictions on transgender rights.
This survey first began data collection about two weeks after President Joe Biden announced he was dropping out of the race and endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris and just three days after Harris announced she was selecting Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. It started just before the DNC and before Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced he was dropping out and endorsing Trump.
Shoshana K. Goldberg, Director of Public Education & Research at the Human Rights Campaign, said in a statement, “These findings underscore the power of LGBTQ+ voters. Virtually all LGBTQ+ Americans are registered and motivated to vote in this election. The LGBTQ+ community is diverse, with a wide range of issues, from the economy to civil rights to democracy, that bring the community to the polls. Without a doubt, LGBTQ+ voters will continue to use the ballot box to fight for our right to live and thrive free from discrimination in this election and beyond.”
The poll was conducted between August 8 and August 18 with Community Marketing & Insights (CMI) overseeing recruitment. They drew respondents from their broader LGBTQ+ Research Panel, a representative sample of 50,000 LGBTQ+ adults across the United States. Ten respondents were directly recruited to represent hard-to-reach communities.
2,432 respondents were eligible for inclusion after demographics and analysis variables were accounted for. The survey was weighted based on population characteristics to account for any potential biases in how representative the sample might be. Results have a margin of error of +/- 4.6%.
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