The proposed Minnesota marriage amendment, which would define marriage as between one man and one woman, does not appear to have the support of a majority of voters, according to the final pre-election day poll by Public Policy Polling.
According to PPP, only 45 percent of voters say they’ll vote in favor of the proposed constitutional ban on same-sex marriage, compared to 52 percent who are opposed.
The marriage amendment is trailing because of a massive generational divide. Seniors support it by a 57/40 margin but every other age group opposes it, including a 36/62 margin against it among voters under 30. Republicans support it (79%) and Democrats oppose it (76%) in almost equal numbers, but independents tip the balance by opposing it 41/55.
Constitutional amendments in Minnesota must surpass 50 percent of all ballots cast to be approved.
Supporters of the amendment want to prevent existing state law that prohibits same-sex marriage from being declared unconstitutional by the courts, or being undone by state legislators.
The PPP poll, conducted through automated telephone interviews, surveyed 1,164 likely voters on November 2nd and 3rd.